Population projections provide estimates of the future size, gender and age composition of the population. It is important to stress that population projections are not accurate predictions about the future, but are the result of calculations determined by assumptions about births, deaths and migration. If our assumptions are not met, the actual developments will deviate from the projection.
Our assumption on fertility and mortality are based on experiences from the period 2007 – 2011, while assumptions on migration is based on the latest 10-year period.
Summary table 1
Population 2013-2021
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
Total |
56.766 |
56.782 |
56.800 |
56.803 |
56.815 |
56.816 |
56.815 |
56.790 |
56.775 |
Persons born in Greenland |
50.295 |
50.263 |
50.228 |
50.194 |
50.160 |
50.124 |
50.089 |
50.046 |
49.994 |
Persons born outside Greenland |
6.471 |
6.519 |
6.572 |
6.609 |
6.655 |
6.692 |
6.726 |
6.744 |
6.781 |
Source: Statistics Greenland, http://bank.stat.gl/BEEP2012
I summary table 1 and table 5 results from the projections can be seen. For more details – visit http://bank.stat.gl/BEEP2012 . The forecast is calculated on both ‘persons born in Greenland’ and those ‘born outside Greenland’. The two subpopulations evolve in different directions. The persons born in Greenland, is expected to increase steadily from 50,340 persons in 2012 to 49,994 persons in 2021. The ‘persons born outside Greenland’ is expected to increase from 6,409 persons in 2012 to 6,781 in 2021. The total population will keep status quo over the next decade.