Population projections provide estimates of the future size, gender and age composition of the population. It is important to stress that population projections are not accurate predictions about the future, but are the result of calculations determined by assumptions about births, deaths and migration. If our assumptions are not met, the actual developments will deviate from the projection.

 

Our assumption on fertility and mortality are based on experiences from the period 2007 – 2011, while assumptions on migration is based on the latest 10-year period.

 

Summary table 1

Population 2013-2021

 

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Total

56.766

56.782

56.800

56.803

56.815

56.816

56.815

56.790

56.775

Persons born in Greenland

50.295

50.263

50.228

50.194

50.160

50.124

50.089

50.046

49.994

Persons born outside Greenland

6.471

6.519

6.572

6.609

6.655

6.692

6.726

6.744

6.781

Source: Statistics Greenland, http://bank.stat.gl/BEEP2012

 

I summary table 1 and table 5 results from the projections can be seen. For more details – visit http://bank.stat.gl/BEEP2012 . The forecast is calculated on both ‘persons born in Greenland’ and those ‘born outside Greenland’. The two subpopulations evolve in different directions. The persons born in Greenland, is expected to increase steadily from 50,340 persons in 2012 to 49,994 persons in 2021. The ‘persons born outside Greenland’ is expected to increase from 6,409 persons in 2012 to 6,781 in 2021. The total population will keep status quo over the next decade.